WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57283f1f1df131a654509a60611df90c0c543c1bbe2cd7da84bdd66bdd935f19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Dream, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wings | 41c | 6,402$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.76 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dream | 63c | 5,580$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.54 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 25c | 2,812$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.52 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Dream | 61c | 2,521$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dream | 61c | 2,169$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.11 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dream | 60c | 2,031$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 40c | 1,316$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.98 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dream | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.34 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Wings | 22c | 1,205$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.37 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dream | 59c | 890$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Wings | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Wings | 47c | 669$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Wings | 42c | 589$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.14 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wings | 38c | 554.74$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Wings | 49c | 471.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.76 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wings | 5c | 375$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream | 71c | 230.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wings | 39c | 186$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 60c | 166.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…09e4backed Wings | 23c | 162.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dream | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Wings | 27c | 149.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Wings | 39c | 139.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Dream | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dream | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Wings | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…22abbacked Dream | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +112%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 38c | 96.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Wings | 41c | 92.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dream | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Dream | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dream | 58c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Wings | 39c | 64.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dream | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Dream | 55c | 62.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Dream | 48c | 56.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Dream | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Wings | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Wings | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dream | 59c | 28.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Dream | 41c | 25.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Dream | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Wings | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.