WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4976204a0d673b951362c08e4035f6f1fdf915265a983bd1f081449ad246ec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Fever | 63c | 4,749$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…f5dcbacked Wings | 40c | 3,648$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wings | 39c | 3,235$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.42 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Fever | 60c | 3,020$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.1 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wings | 37c | 1,910$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.74 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 40c | 1,550$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fever | 61c | 1,013$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.93 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wings | 39c | 959$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.26 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever | 60c | 918.48$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.39 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Fever | 61c | 893.12$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.72 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Fever | 61c | 845.04$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.44 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Fever | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Fever | 64c | 470.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Wings | 37c | 452.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wings | 37c | 358$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Fever | 61c | 336.26$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wings | 6c | 330$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wings | 33c | 314$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Fever | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 40c | 251.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 40c | 250.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Fever | 62c | 245.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Fever | 62c | 208$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Fever | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wings | 41c | 199.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Fever | 75c | 160.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fever | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Wings | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Wings | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever | 65c | 79.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Fever | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Fever | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…e456backed Fever | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Fever | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Fever | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Fever | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Fever | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Wings | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wings | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Fever | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Wings | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.