TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3219…4f05backed Canadiens40c2,699$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.742763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens24c2,578$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.0170249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Jets62c2,540$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.6220147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens3c1,300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaade…afc8backed Jets61c1,148$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Canadiens38c1,070$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.69251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Canadiens38c1,019$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x444e…ab89backed Jets60c1,000$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb9b…ae6fbacked Canadiens40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Jets59c999.84$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9416554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Canadiens38c982.8$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.4629847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Canadiens40c939.82$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.9313756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets61c937.6$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.423,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jets61c807.62$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.059747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Canadiens46c777$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.422245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Jets60c767.74$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.17361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Jets59c765.22$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.742245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens39c721.58$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4272847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens3c642.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.377450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…206abacked Jets61c569.39$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.391154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e7…0832backed Canadiens39c557.68$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens39c495$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets59c468.86$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens39c460.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.351,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Canadiens11c430.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.635322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Jets62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…3917backed Jets62c363.92$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…76e8backed Canadiens39c309.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jets57c303.41$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.399553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Canadiens43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f1…caf5backed Canadiens39c281.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets60c271.93$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7738040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Jets62c248.92$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.599554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.941,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Canadiens46c213$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.982040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets59c210.93$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets59c205.69$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Canadiens41c200.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Jets60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Canadiens6c195.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802d…3290backed Canadiens41c175.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+80.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf8f…6cb9backed Canadiens39c170.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.571758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Jets60c159.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.83757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Canadiens38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc394…3f3bbacked Canadiens41c141.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Canadiens39c129.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.543452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6aee…c40abacked Canadiens41c124.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Canadiens41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Canadiens41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Canadiens41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x321f…7f25backed Canadiens42c120.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x221b…5125backed Canadiens41c115.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ed…ca1abacked Canadiens40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdba2…cb54backed Canadiens41c112.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5203…28b8backed Jets60c111.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.672050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d52…2a0bbacked Jets60c104.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaa0…5590backed Jets62c103$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea3…dc8ebacked Canadiens39c103$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Jets59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6945954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5f…890cbacked Jets74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e26…4689backed Jets60c100.88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Canadiens10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4cf…a6a1backed Jets62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Canadiens38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3827643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Canadiens39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets60c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…4254backed Canadiens39c98.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6367…5160backed Jets60c97.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets76c95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e5…be51backed Jets59c89.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78b…70f7backed Jets60c85.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…9be3backed Jets60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Jets61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9718259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd05c…4d62backed Jets60c81.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4476…3541backed Jets61c77.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb3…0384backed Jets60c72.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+112%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7e…f37fbacked Canadiens41c70.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens26c69.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf74d…7476backed Jets62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Canadiens41c49.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Canadiens41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Jets60c41.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.830549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…5975backed Jets60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Jets60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6725358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Jets60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.678445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25da…db77backed Jets60c41.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2142…79fdbacked Canadiens40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162556%14 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc9…5d52backed Jets60c39.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb069…bb0cbacked Canadiens40c39.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabff…f878backed Canadiens41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb212…42b9backed Canadiens41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae5…bd27backed Canadiens41c36.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Canadiens61c35.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.798254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1f2…17febacked Canadiens40c35.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed Canadiens41c34.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9d8…52d7backed Canadiens40c34.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x340b…7629backed Jets60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04fd…3930backed Jets60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.