College Football · resolved market
Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e38e0bbebb7728077f96ae311178736ce9fb8a886cd8dfb26b1c32f379c7da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michiganof Eastern Michigan, Central Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Eastern Michigan | 32c | 5,488$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Central Michigan | 68c | 4,914$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.72 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Central Michigan | 63c | 3,678$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.65 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Central Michigan | 65c | 2,204$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.84 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eastern Michigan | 38c | 1,997$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.83 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Eastern Michigan | 36c | 1,926$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.06 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Eastern Michigan | 37c | 1,681$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.82 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Michigan | 65c | 1,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.7 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Central Michigan | 66c | 687.96$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.7 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Eastern Michigan | 36c | 571$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Eastern Michigan | 31c | 536.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eastern Michigan | 35c | 300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Eastern Michigan | 7c | 288.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Central Michigan | 58c | 193.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…da32backed Eastern Michigan | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Eastern Michigan | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Eastern Michigan | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Eastern Michigan | 36c | 67.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michiganthis page
- Spread: Central Michigan (-5.5)Central Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.