Tennis · resolved market
ITF W50 Prague Women: Laura Mair vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf4da1fc039b169fe6e5a87c32ea77dbbd5c118297c83089fa51f65cc69aecb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yelyzaveta Kotliarof Laura Mair, Yelyzaveta Kotliar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Laura Mair | 24c | 7,494$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.16 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 78c | 5,230$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Laura Mair | 8c | 3,365$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Laura Mair | 11c | 2,788$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 78c | 2,000$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.38 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Laura Mair | 24c | 1,857$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.78 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Laura Mair | 8c | 1,500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 77c | 553.65$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Laura Mair | 6c | 505.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 78c | 327.74$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Laura Mair | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Laura Mair | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 76c | 285$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 76c | 177.09$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Laura Mair | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Laura Mair | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 76c | 98.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Laura Mair | 23c | 81.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 77c | 62.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 77c | 47.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 78c | 34.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 237 | 59.1%140 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 78c | 18.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…a393backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.