Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a9b9ebeca666ff816a0f655d0b6aba9b41f808393d44c0f241f838f18d3eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 56c | 18,279$10,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,164.37 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 12,719$5,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,810.53 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 46c | 9,999$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.4 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 52c | 7,986$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.03 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 5,231$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.72 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 66c | 3,576$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.63 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 64c | 2,985$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.3 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,407$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.19 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 2,227$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.62 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 2,199$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.87 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 2,112$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.08 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 68c | 1,761$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.53 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 1,349$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.64 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 52c | 1,105$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.6 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 10c | 1,020$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.91 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 934.3$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.13 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 807.19$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.88 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 685.16$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.08 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 48c | 669.02$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.89 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 54c | 570.39$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.01 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 558.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 50c | 545$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 21c | 532.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.52 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Yes | 80c | 505$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 77c | 486.81$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.48 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 46c | 474.08$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 46c | 425$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 391.29$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 339.43$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.48 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 54c | 328$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 301.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed No | 26c | 295$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 37c | 289.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 278.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 49c | 265.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.13 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 44c | 261.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.87 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 65c | 243$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 48c | 233.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 37c | 231.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 48c | 210.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 24c | 209$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 41c | 189.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 54c | 184.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked Yes | 52c | 177.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 8c | 176.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…d3b5backed Yes | 42c | 168.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Yes | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 14c | 162.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 31c | 162.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 54c | 158$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 18c | 157.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 48c | 152.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Yes | 34c | 146.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 49c | 144.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Yes | 52c | 137.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 48c | 130.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 74c | 119.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Yes | 54c | 119.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 63c | 116$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 65c | 113.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 28c | 100.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 49c | 99.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 53c | 94.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…6d74backed Yes | 26c | 89.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 16c | 86.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 40c | 83.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 54c | 81.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 54c | 75.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 75.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 54c | 72.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 72.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 50c | 71.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…2210backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked No | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.