MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d24e01076e65bf91bf0356a36e2b6ff2f0e9d0be626eb5288a255ffb6d7a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Boston Red Sox, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 10,571$6,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.15 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 9,368$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,527.12 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,369$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.64 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,193$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 959.07$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…c49fbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 786.07$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 409.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Boston Red Sox | 8c | 304.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 123.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 119.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 80.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…eee9backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 44.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.