Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Ru Xi Wu vs Maiko Uchijima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8803090b1ce169ad4121c973b7d7ed3b10f3c320e3c6371bf4e2a88cf0565c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ru Xi Wuof Ru Xi Wu, Maiko Uchijima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc1a…bbb8backed Maiko Uchijima | 24c | 1,067$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maiko Uchijima | 19c | 505.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Ru Xi Wu | 80c | 411.77$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Ru Xi Wu | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maiko Uchijima | 23c | 287.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Maiko Uchijima | 19c | 216.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Maiko Uchijima | 14c | 173.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ru Xi Wu | 75c | 164.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ru Xi Wu | 76c | 108.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maiko Uchijima | 14c | 88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Maiko Uchijima | 17c | 63.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Ru Xi Wu | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ru Xi Wu | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Ru Xi Wu | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ru Xi Wu | 79c | 46.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Ru Xi Wu | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Ru Xi Wu | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Ru Xi Wu | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ru Xi Wu | 76c | 32.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ru Xi Wu | 80c | 26.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ff…66d0backed Ru Xi Wu | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ru Xi Wu | 76c | 22.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Ru Xi Wu vs Maiko Uchijimathis page
- ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Completed Match: Ru Xi Wu vs Maiko UchijimaYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.