Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will PSG beat Nice?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf81b1ca176173718b896277a0a38aa9ff94d291d5a605af11e9d09d6e100a021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 43c | 3,500$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…08f7backed Yes | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,453$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.09 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 35c | 647.13$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes | 70c | 562.73$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 63c | 357.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 64c | 195.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a63…183abacked No | 68c | 160.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 58c | 148.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…3a54backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 55c | 27.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.