South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b2458a921e325db3ae833208512e9b4d0876a85e784ebc0d7c7a218f29f3a50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 5,014$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 58c | 3,497$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.48 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 2,680$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.07 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 66c | 2,317$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 17c | 1,774$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.53 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 972.27$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.66 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 45c | 667.15$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 30c | 626.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.5 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 48c | 567.35$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.53 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 75c | 556.75$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 471.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 47c | 411.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.34 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 73c | 286$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 6c | 279.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 19c | 248.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 73c | 132$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Yes | 76c | 131.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 18c | 125.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 42c | 115.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 39c | 115.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 52c | 114.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 40c | 102.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 70c | 98.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 91.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 40c | 91.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 24c | 83.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 76c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 79.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 65c | 78.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 52c | 74.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 17c | 72.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 65.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 74c | 63.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 26c | 63.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 58.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…96fbbacked No | 49c | 53.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 25c | 47.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 36.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 40c | 35.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 72c | 25.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed No | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 75c | 15.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.