Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30a94ac4531191fe13eb580b25e2bb9ddb791d64f4259170bdf2c9f7ac3bbb80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 28c | 7,956$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 5,476$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 31c | 5,255$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 70c | 5,214$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.4 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 2,969$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Yes | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 1,907$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 44c | 1,429$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.53 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 1,379$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 1,138$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.57 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 72c | 750$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 694$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 694$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.48 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 693.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 347.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 20c | 318.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3d…b0e6backed Yes | 28c | 277$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 72c | 269.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 236.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 222.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 222$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 72c | 205.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…d45abacked Yes | 28c | 192.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 190.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 32c | 169.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 61c | 155.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…452ebacked No | 73c | 151$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 141.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 28c | 137.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 133.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 20c | 133$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4c…f508backed No | 73c | 127$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…4678backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…55b8backed Yes | 28c | 103.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…5d31backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 82.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe609…2948backed Yes | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 76c | 59.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 55.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 49.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 38c | 41.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 74c | 39.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…0db1backed No | 73c | 35.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 74c | 30.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 28.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…5037backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed No | 70c | 26.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 74c | 25.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 79c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF end in a draw?this page
- Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.