Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582e56c4d74e21f5bbfb4d0e46e5c317d4fb2edfd1492b165f3006e999601107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,229$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 26c | 548$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 373.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 10c | 304.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 10c | 295$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 283.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 71c | 283.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 263.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 239.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 10c | 236.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 195$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 187.74$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 178.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 71c | 157.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 143.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 75c | 139.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 10c | 100.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 75c | 99.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 40c | 61.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 54c | 54.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 47.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 72c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 28.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.