Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bfd5eac37ac0f0b2d828cf9a4728c740ad81fe672474504fe815c5f18676745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 59c | 12,916$7,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 41c | 7,655$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 3,475$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.34 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 2,784$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.32 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 1,947$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.98 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 1,696$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.32 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 1,402$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.18 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 981.36$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.36 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 699.7$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.63 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 48c | 532.74$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 41c | 514$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 23c | 499.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 41c | 373$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 319.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 44c | 280.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 235.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 41c | 214.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 41c | 200.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 61c | 148$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 41c | 139.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 39c | 128.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 58c | 103$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 37c | 96.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 60c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 39c | 88.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 36c | 79.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 46.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.