TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-07-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No69c10,000$6,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.9521237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes20c3,682$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.892,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes26c2,543$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.762,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c2,174$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.353,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c1,748$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.912,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes24c1,622$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0729337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes13c921.7$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8831430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes12c907.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2481440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c820.49$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.431,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c685.03$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3196947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes32c598.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.684914.3%7 W · 42 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes14c571.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9965535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No67c519.99$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.617446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes11c453.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes31c392.06$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5497346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes4c306.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2779532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked No68c271.57$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.91758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes27c230.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8585260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes11c227.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.994546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes10c218.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.98446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c214.02$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.861,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No69c199.8$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Yes32c190$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.82040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No67c161$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1321840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked No67c159.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No69c151.3$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0965549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes32c135.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5916443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No68c123.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.087545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes27c107$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8931842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3277855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes33c98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.347838.5%30 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Yes25c88.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.094139%16 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes27c81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.877042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No68c79.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4611141.4%46 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No68c79.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.399340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No71c77.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.679354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Yes27c77.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid+60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Yes33c75.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.043164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa7…8332backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Yes28c70.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No70c69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.737043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No71c65.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8536356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Yes33c38.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2a…4042backed Yes27c37.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No75c35.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8711650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2510863.9%69 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No72c24.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.699958.6%58 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.065959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked No68c21.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44479.5%35 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked No69c15.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.628256.1%46 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.