Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49db9e6f5d76f2cd6f4c1256d3d82bb2bc71dceea94d4bb1c03dd8010a8570de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 29c | 1,685$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.25 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 7c | 1,042$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…400ebacked Yes | 20c | 787.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.16 | 116 | 14.7%17 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 19c | 727.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 10c | 590.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 549.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked No | 6c | 481.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.29 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 406.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 393.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 29c | 363.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.96 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 74c | 311.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 79c | 287.52$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.29 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 63c | 284.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 77c | 259.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 5c | 254.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 29c | 243.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 77c | 222.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 33c | 210$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9c6dbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 34c | 195.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 53c | 178.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 68c | 169.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 9c | 166.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 56c | 162.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed Yes | 10c | 156.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 179 | 40.8%73 W · 106 L | +29.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 26c | 153.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 80c | 146$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 12c | 138.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 75c | 132.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…eb81backed Yes | 40c | 131.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 130.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 68c | 127.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 27c | 124.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 63c | 123.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 19c | 113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 31c | 112.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 104.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 33c | 101.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 42c | 97.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 95.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…d2f9backed Yes | 11c | 94.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 68c | 92.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 34c | 91.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 27c | 88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…caf0backed Yes | 72c | 83.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 33c | 83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 34c | 80.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 28c | 76.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 21c | 75.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 36c | 74.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 71.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…79a9backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 26c | 64.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 18c | 63.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 77c | 61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…9270backed Yes | 28c | 53.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 25c | 52.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 27c | 45.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 44.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 49c | 43.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 73c | 41.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 71c | 41.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 28c | 41.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 61c | 39.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 67c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 401 | 62.6%251 W · 150 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 28c | 36.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…bf4abacked Yes | 68c | 36.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 68c | 36.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…261cbacked No | 73c | 33.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 74cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 65c | 29.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 63c | 29.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 79c | 28.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…825ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…f54abacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 23.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…ce23backed No | 68c | 21.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed No | 57c | 21.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -16.6wins | -0.29per pick | 61cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 27-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -18.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…6747backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed No | 74c | 19.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…6f69backed Yes | 65c | 19.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.