Us Midterms · resolved market
Will James Kingston be the Republican nominee for GA-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc91f3cfed914f5d7429e3ce28d050c71fa3d0f4f4ae9b236be35ec3398c6dea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 4c | 538$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…6817backed No | 50c | 264.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0029…80ecbacked No | 50c | 253.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b3…0592backed No | 50c | 251.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…37d5backed No | 50c | 245.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…6ddbbacked No | 50c | 226.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…d24fbacked No | 50c | 223.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…2ff7backed No | 50c | 216.34$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…72ccbacked No | 50c | 212.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba1…1b12backed No | 50c | 211.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…0b80backed No | 50c | 209.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…4224backed No | 50c | 208.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…4304backed No | 50c | 207.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…5b2ebacked No | 50c | 204.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 6c | 202.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2447backed No | 50c | 201.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 6c | 173.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…0907backed No | 50c | 46.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 76c | 26.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will James Kingston be the Republican nominee for GA-01?this page
- Will Kandiss Taylor be the Republican nominee for GA-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.