Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x386678fd214ad92e1729226d8fce2e7d0b983e056e7e30f8eacb26a79c0dd220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,261$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.73 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 1,085$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.66 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 8c | 638.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 343.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 237.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 235$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 227$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 47c | 158$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed No | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 133.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 129.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 128.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 49c | 123.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 50c | 112.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 52c | 111.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 49c | 97.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 49c | 93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 17c | 79.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 48c | 57.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 50c | 52.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 40.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 51c | 39.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 52c | 36.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…487abacked Yes | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 76c | 34.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 32c | 34.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 34.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 51c | 31.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked Yes | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 50c | 26.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 49c | 25.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Auda win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.