South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x886164c655be97a3b45327f4beb0ad92aa24bfa0c6defb62fe4c6904bee60b77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,351$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Over | 64c | 3,393$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 62c | 2,675$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.82 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 2,114$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.62 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 33c | 1,761$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.94 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 1,428$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 1,001$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.08 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 51c | 878.42$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.8 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 792.66$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.33 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 67c | 698.7$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.75 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 67c | 502.13$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.21 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 66c | 449.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 34c | 424.46$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.14 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 285.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 67c | 265.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 67c | 195.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 54c | 181.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 65c | 154.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 66c | 152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 119.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 33c | 111.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 60c | 86.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 49c | 81.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 46c | 77.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 74.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 45c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 67c | 69.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 67c | 66.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 77c | 56.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Over | 60c | 56.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Under | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 63c | 48.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 37c | 48.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Under | 34c | 45.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 73c | 45.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 40.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 35c | 33.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 70c | 30.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 45c | 29.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 28.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 43c | 26.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 67c | 25.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 66c | 22.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Tolima (-1.5)Independiente del Valle won
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)CD Tolima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.