South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b5d0c57051e9cb7e14d196549fd67653f5fe195e180acfc25a295f121b1491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Over | 37c | 11,066$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 4,463$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 3,530$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 3,204$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.31 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 34c | 1,516$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.42 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 1,006$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.65 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 58c | 924.52$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.29 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 63c | 895.86$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.47 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 42c | 714.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 710.17$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 61c | 470.03$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 40c | 446.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 62c | 443.9$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Over | 38c | 440.45$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed Under | 65c | 377.91$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Under | 61c | 312.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 62c | 296.94$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 63c | 261.1$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 39c | 241$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 62c | 240.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 42c | 206.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 60c | 161.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 144.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 58c | 131.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 48c | 83.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 83.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 60c | 81.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 61c | 81.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 81.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Under | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 38c | 75.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 63c | 70.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 79c | 56.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 60c | 56.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 56.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 63c | 52.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 43.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 38c | 42.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 41.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Under | 60c | 40.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 40c | 34.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 66c | 33.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 43c | 33.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Under | 59c | 33.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 42c | 32.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Under | 60c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed Under | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 80c | 24.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Under | 60c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 63c | 20.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 63c | 16.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Tolima (-1.5)Independiente del Valle won
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)CD Tolima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.