Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2eddb6d5c56bb91ab94610777432a15c71ac54fe148805fa72c1a72fafc3051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 42c | 4,179$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.21 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 61c | 2,992$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.69 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 39c | 2,555$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.69 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 62c | 1,503$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 1,391$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.03 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 62c | 1,274$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.7 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 58c | 1,246$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.32 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 1,116$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.57 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Yes | 59c | 832.17$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 822.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 38c | 784.85$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 686.58$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.46 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 39c | 526.16$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 62c | 423.86$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 29c | 303.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed No | 42c | 295.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 213.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 58c | 205.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 58c | 169$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 7c | 166.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 60c | 144.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 67c | 133.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 68c | 109.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 58c | 107.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed No | 43c | 102.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 61c | 95.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 12c | 90.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 78c | 88.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Yes | 58c | 84.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 58c | 84.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…302cbacked Yes | 61c | 84.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked No | 13c | 82.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed No | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 63c | 50.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf227…a6e9backed Yes | 62c | 43.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 58c | 38.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 40c | 37.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 72c | 33.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yes | 62c | 31.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 35c | 31.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 39c | 27.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 25.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Yes | 58c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 59c | 24.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 61c | 23.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 62c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?No won
- Will KÍ win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.