South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79d66cbe4fc406646d798252dd5209d9dde50713fdc1b6a9311d8d722684221b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 63c | 15,844$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,844.14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 54c | 15,341$8,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.11 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Yes | 17c | 7,431$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 42c | 6,755$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.08 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 6,306$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 38c | 3,634$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.96 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,874$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 56c | 2,254$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.76 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,980$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.34 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 1,852$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.39 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,388$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.56 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 1,388$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.56 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 1,341$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.48 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 80c | 1,228$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 13c | 1,136$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 44c | 1,006$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.85 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 866.55$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 46c | 845.29$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.76 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 44c | 484.12$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Yes | 16c | 456.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 334.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 46c | 324.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 58c | 311.66$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 238.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 35c | 230.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 216.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 53c | 211.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 36c | 183.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 136.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 14c | 112.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 39c | 102.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…6663backed Yes | 28c | 98.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 41c | 93.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 54c | 92.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 41c | 92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked No | 53c | 85.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 29c | 81.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Yes | 39c | 73.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…d93bbacked Yes | 42c | 63.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 79c | 52.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Yes | 38c | 46.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 68c | 45.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…0be6backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 56c | 27.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 53c | 19.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked No | 56c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will CS Cristal vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.