South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba6aa49a0f6fbdef681e5e1386fb2490aa5f593cfbfa7b22cae617ed19eccbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 67c | 5,815$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.32 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 4,603$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 30c | 1,131$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.23 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 973.08$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.83 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 13c | 952.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 713.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 669.15$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 32c | 529.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 447.68$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 27c | 376.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 284.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 271.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 24c | 258.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked No | 67c | 258.28$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 253.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 24c | 250$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 73c | 205.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…6587backed Yes | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 184.9$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 20c | 174.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 154.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…29b6backed No | 69c | 107.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 25c | 97.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 30c | 95.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 16c | 92.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…5681backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 75c | 59.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 53.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…4dfebacked Yes | 28c | 51.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…4bf2backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 48.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 26c | 38.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 34c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 74c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 76c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will CS Cristal vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.