Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x074105080948a8367f7626274a737078a4ed814de39dd00b9b5a7049fbc4e9c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marie Bouzkovaof Marie Bouzkova, Lucrezia Stefanini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 11c | 4,896$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.22 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 20c | 2,700$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 13c | 2,685$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 2,640$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 19c | 1,745$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.09 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…4edabacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 1c | 1,449$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 19c | 1,198$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.64 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 5c | 901$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 11c | 834.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 624.22$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 115 | 67%77 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 13c | 576.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 20c | 550.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…663ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 9c | 527.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 17c | 464.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Marie Bouzkova | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 332.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 16c | 299.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 26c | 275.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Marie Bouzkova | 79c | 264$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…c784backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 26c | 254$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 20c | 247.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…5fb9backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 26c | 201.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…c45cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Marie Bouzkova | 78c | 179.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 31c | 150.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…96f4backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Marie Bouzkova | 76c | 128.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Marie Bouzkova | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…46f9backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…0870backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 19c | 94.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…4f00backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…9ff0backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 13c | 80.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 20c | 67.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 23c | 64.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 31c | 54.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Marie Bouzkova | 79c | 43.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Marie Bouzkova | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Marie Bouzkova | 78c | 16.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Marie Bouzkova | 78c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Marie Bouzkova | 78c | 15.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Marie Bouzkova | 73c | 14.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Lucrezia Stefaninithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs StefaniniBouzkova won
- Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Stefanini (+1.5)Bouzkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.