Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00fe4854ad58372f1d04a199fa51af3c128803309579a005ffcaadaf7ad90428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 6c | 21,197$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.78 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 46c | 14,871$6,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,074.88 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 7,975$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.55 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 4,449$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.29 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 3,002$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.41 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 47c | 1,749$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.83 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 7c | 1,673$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 1,670$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.91 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 50c | 1,403$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.78 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 53c | 999.99$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 712.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 3c | 666.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 17c | 450.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 4c | 448.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 55c | 434.47$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.83 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed No | 31c | 310.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 42c | 287.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 49c | 279.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 229$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 16c | 226.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked Yes | 45c | 220.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 53c | 209.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 55c | 201.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed No | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 54c | 154.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Yes | 49c | 152.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 144.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 55c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…c5efbacked No | 10c | 131.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…4178backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 54c | 80.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 78c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 65c | 63.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 55c | 51.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 48c | 47.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…6369backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes | 70c | 31.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 51c | 31.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 52c | 29.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 54c | 28.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 76c | 26.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 26.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 46c | 23.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.