Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabda57b0e22957910a0f0dec262a16ae333c80e4e1c5d26dc2f523dd7894d7e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 3c | 4,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 2,562$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.87 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 2,010$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.5 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 25c | 1,349$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 79c | 1,268$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 764.88$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 657$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 657$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 657$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 362.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 300.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 75c | 271.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Yes | 9c | 264.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 24c | 158.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 76c | 78.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 24c | 47.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 24c | 41.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 76c | 33.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 23.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 76c | 22.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.