MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7cbbb1ae06d551cc95a17840350dda741d6f88aa5005d1a5a4e49f5de800980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Minnesota Twins, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 186,046$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,046.13 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 100,262$57,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,149.25 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 34,144$19,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,038.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 14,323$9,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 13,500$7,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,695 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 12,279$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 8,072$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 6,391$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.73 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 6,189$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 5,295$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.16 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 4,030$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.08 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 3,084$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.47 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,762$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.12 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 2,598$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…1d90backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,491$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…f2d7backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,289$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,964$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.48 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,721$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 1,609$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.55 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,560$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.88 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,467$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,440$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.31 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,395$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.12 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 1,315$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.08 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins | 17c | 1,210$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.91 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,153$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.14 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 1,028$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.68 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,010$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 903$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 854.97$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 819$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.83 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 788.74$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 684$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 666$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 650$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 601.56$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.97 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 582.68$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 569.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.74 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 553.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 542.56$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 494.8$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 486.57$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 476$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Minnesota Twins | 5c | 471.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 453$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 438$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 397.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 396.63$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 359.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 345.64$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 338$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 306.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 276.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…663ebacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…0fadbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 261.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 260.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…e046backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 257.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…9f1fbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 243.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 233.6$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 218.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 208.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…b4c4backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 207.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 202.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 189.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…4f00backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 178.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 167.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 164.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 160.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 160.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 138.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 135.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…a555backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 134.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 133.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 121.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.