NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6940a4b0d8105b7c89706c5caf187bb52539e5448a9524dda035f1464bb081e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Bulls, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Nets | 53c | 19,604$10,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213.9 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bulls | 47c | 19,208$9,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,020.01 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Bulls | 47c | 6,600$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.99 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nets | 52c | 3,984$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.09 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 52c | 3,039$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 52c | 2,362$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.53 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 52c | 1,874$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.52 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Nets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bulls | 46c | 355.92$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Bulls | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nets | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Nets | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Nets | 52c | 196.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nets | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Nets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Nets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Nets | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Nets | 51c | 126.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…ec5fbacked Bulls | 49c | 107$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Nets | 52c | 105.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Nets | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Nets | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 42c | 89.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Nets | 54c | 88.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 48c | 76.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Nets | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Nets | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Nets | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Nets | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Nets | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Nets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Nets | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Bulls | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…e5dabacked Nets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Nets | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Nets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Bulls | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Nets | 53c | 29.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Nets | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Nets | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Nets | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nets | 53c | 27.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Nets | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Nets | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-8.5)this page
- Nets vs. BullsNets won
- Nets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.