Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x916c757a375e36d38cb8a7acba8f9e9b426074420228efc7fc79aa5038ef9a2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Mary's Gaelsof Northern Iowa Panthers, Saint Mary's Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 29c | 2,462$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.42 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 66c | 2,017$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.32 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 59c | 1,770$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 41c | 1,464$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.72 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 15c | 1,001$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 11c | 999.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 23c | 888.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 70c | 827.04$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.53 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 31c | 816.04$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.62 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 65c | 763$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.33 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 24c | 390.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 66c | 356$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…2f0bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 65c | 353.39$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 8c | 323.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 24c | 311.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…150cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 60c | 296.69$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 13c | 232.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 62c | 215.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 7c | 213.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 29c | 142.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 63c | 130.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 73c | 121.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 36c | 76.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 33c | 74.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…72e0backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 24c | 64.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 40c | 59.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 73c | 55.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 69c | 55.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 66c | 43.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 28c | 39.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…13cdbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 76c | 23.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.