TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Wright State Raiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Wright State Raiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wright State Raiders50c7,818$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.157237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c4,116$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks52c3,894$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wright State Raiders49c3,489$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.6712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Wright State Raiders49c3,211$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.391631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Wright State Raiders9c1,432$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.165152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wright State Raiders24c1,252$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.952,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wright State Raiders38c1,250$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.313,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Miami (OH) RedHawks52c1,193$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.1589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Miami (OH) RedHawks78c1,068$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.27758.4%45 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52510511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Wright State Raiders48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wright State Raiders17c831.14$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.653,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wright State Raiders49c766.66$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.811,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Wright State Raiders51c727.76$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2816341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae2…856fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks56c620.29$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Wright State Raiders40c606.81$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24313141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wright State Raiders47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2829641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c460.26$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.134,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Wright State Raiders48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19225043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wright State Raiders49c400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1942,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Wright State Raiders50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Wright State Raiders32c390.25$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0745644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wright State Raiders4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Wright State Raiders51c249.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.534947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Wright State Raiders47c245.18$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2340147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Wright State Raiders13c232.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9936845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wright State Raiders8c212.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.012,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Wright State Raiders48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Wright State Raiders50c199$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.521646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wright State Raiders7c182.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd45b…58f5backed Miami (OH) RedHawks54c179.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.556100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c145$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5463551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wright State Raiders50c133$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Wright State Raiders51c131$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.816544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Wright State Raiders48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Wright State Raiders49c114$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8649043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fc…175abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wright State Raiders46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b5…a98fbacked Wright State Raiders49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb75…ad3cbacked Wright State Raiders53c90.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Wright State Raiders51c88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.884744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks64c86.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.181656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Miami (OH) RedHawks62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Wright State Raiders53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks53c73.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5811055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Miami (OH) RedHawks57c65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9519153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b90…9bdcbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks53c55.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x355b…908ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c53.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32bb…d337backed Wright State Raiders53c51.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…04f6backed Wright State Raiders48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wright State Raiders50c47.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.732,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.463063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Wright State Raiders51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.428252.4%43 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x440a…ddc6backed Wright State Raiders51c41.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…ce27backed Wright State Raiders51c40.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…570bbacked Wright State Raiders49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee1…cb37backed Miami (OH) RedHawks53c40.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd40d…73f6backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c12…0d56backed Wright State Raiders49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abf…6f64backed Wright State Raiders53c37.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x527f…3a09backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c34.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.835261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Wright State Raiders51c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.836750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.322871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+40.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Wright State Raiders48c31.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.083148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…7602backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c28.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5973549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f1…7212backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Wright State Raiders53c26.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…e011backed Wright State Raiders55c26.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.471450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x868d…b425backed Miami (OH) RedHawks45c26.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wright State Raiders50c23.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.871,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Wright State Raiders50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.