CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54002bc2b0db3cb77722a0c9ea306893044af7bce3a858fbbbfd3e5b163bc4ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed 1WIN | 61c | 25,069$15,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,857.12 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked illwill | 26c | 9,194$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.08 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed illwill | 40c | 7,553$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked illwill | 37c | 5,892$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked illwill | 11c | 4,636$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.29 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked illwill | 28c | 2,368$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.15 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed illwill | 39c | 2,250$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.8 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b6…9dbdbacked illwill | 42c | 2,025$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 1WIN | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed 1WIN | 60c | 1,919$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.23 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed 1WIN | 60c | 1,690$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.15 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed illwill | 37c | 1,464$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked illwill | 41c | 1,146$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.89 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked illwill | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed 1WIN | 59c | 918.17$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.13 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…1e03backed 1WIN | 79c | 633.66$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed illwill | 9c | 621.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed 1WIN | 70c | 601.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed illwill | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed illwill | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed illwill | 40c | 499.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 11c | 397.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed illwill | 21c | 383.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…6d65backed 1WIN | 65c | 381.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked illwill | 41c | 362$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed illwill | 32c | 336.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed illwill | 40c | 335$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked illwill | 40c | 330$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed illwill | 38c | 325.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed 1WIN | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked illwill | 8c | 265.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…5b34backed 1WIN | 76c | 257.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked illwill | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked 1WIN | 60c | 248.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153d…6016backed illwill | 34c | 240.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed illwill | 16c | 233.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked illwill | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…0b35backed 1WIN | 66c | 228.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed 1WIN | 59c | 227.73$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 1WIN | 63c | 217.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed illwill | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked illwill | 37c | 184.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed illwill | 32c | 180.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…fc1dbacked illwill | 40c | 177.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed illwill | 21c | 176.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed illwill | 26c | 169.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed illwill | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…5e58backed 1WIN | 64c | 156.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked 1WIN | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed 1WIN | 61c | 154.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe03c…e9cebacked illwill | 40c | 152.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed 1WIN | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…8fb2backed illwill | 15c | 147.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked 1WIN | 71c | 141.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 42c | 131.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed illwill | 40c | 129.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed illwill | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed 1WIN | 78c | 117.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked illwill | 40c | 117$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked illwill | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked illwill | 39c | 114.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…c45cbacked illwill | 40c | 111.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed illwill | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked illwill | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed illwill | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked illwill | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked illwill | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 1WIN | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed illwill | 24c | 80.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed illwill | 40c | 75.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…193cbacked illwill | 40c | 73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…c469backed illwill | 44c | 71.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…3629backed 1WIN | 58c | 71.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…3fdabacked illwill | 20c | 67.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed illwill | 30c | 67.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed illwill | 34c | 66.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked illwill | 43c | 60.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce23…9c7bbacked 1WIN | 63c | 52.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed illwill | 38c | 52.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed illwill | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked illwill | 40c | 45.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked 1WIN | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…8a4bbacked 1WIN | 78c | 37.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked illwill | 41c | 36.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…9bfbbacked illwill | 46c | 35.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked illwill | 46c | 35.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -69%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed illwill | 40c | 34.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed illwill | 40c | 32.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed 1WIN | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked 1WIN | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked 1WIN | 62c | 30.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed 1WIN | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed 1WIN | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed 1WIN | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed illwill | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed 1WIN | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…f87ebacked 1WIN | 76c | 28.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked illwill | 39c | 27.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84a…539ebacked 1WIN | 63c | 25.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…7495backed 1WIN | 79c | 25.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs illwill - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.