Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Arouca vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dc86049eed04ebc1c853c27ec7a96b43ad80eed733a4d40c80cc90766101f65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 69c | 4,158$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.14 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 2,364$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.06 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 64c | 1,827$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.72 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 989.3$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 529.15$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.75 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 58c | 498.28$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 450.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 32c | 338.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.29 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.67 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 31c | 269$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 69c | 177.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 31c | 123.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 32c | 114.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 53c | 107.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…0d50backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 58c | 88.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 50.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 48.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed Yes | 69c | 48.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…55b0backed Yes | 37c | 41.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 68c | 41.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 63c | 36.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 68c | 32.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 78c | 30.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 27.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 23.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 22.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Arouca vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.