South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18ed91e4f00129a309f05dd2c6929c2722a9f68b613a91d0b074ffc681dc24c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,278 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 35c | 5,662$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.5 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 67c | 4,643$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.2 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,904$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.26 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 65c | 1,790$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.39 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,686$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 65c | 1,293$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.55 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,250$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.4 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,089$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.29 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 362.78$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 347.63$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 54c | 240.05$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…c9d8backed Yes | 35c | 141.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Yes | 35c | 135.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 116.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 110.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 64c | 93.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 37c | 93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 90.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 90.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 74.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 33c | 62.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 67c | 62.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 60.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…711abacked Yes | 35c | 59.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 64c | 58.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 35c | 52.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 48.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked No | 65c | 46.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 34c | 43.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 43.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 66c | 36.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 32.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 66c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 67c | 22.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 65c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 75c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-17?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.