South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c13f6040a929cdec3783dbdaa1954dd196bc75ba607f6786ee66a86cf9ddfc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,499 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 9,002$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 3,269$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.72 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 2,124$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,022$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.05 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 25c | 870.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…66dbbacked Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 438$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.56 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Yes | 25c | 354.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 23c | 266.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 181.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 174.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 36c | 153.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 64c | 152.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 136.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 97.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 54c | 93.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 81.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 61.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 59.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 46c | 54.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 42c | 52.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed No | 36c | 50.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed No | 41c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 76c | 41.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 52c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 49c | 40.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 67c | 23.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 54c | 22.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 20.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked No | 76c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 64c | 18.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bff4backed No | 78c | 17.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-17?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.