World Politics · resolved market
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fbf49865537a7085a15a6286d4ac40447b3a8f957a2a7633770b7f6be1c83be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,156 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d23…0827backed No | 1c | 52,512$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…d633backed No | 0c | 25,326$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…5a9cbacked No | 0c | 10,763$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dce…0b91backed No | 1c | 7,493$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…75cfbacked No | 3c | 7,120$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 2c | 6,986$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…acb2backed No | 3c | 6,963$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…04b7backed No | 0c | 6,803$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 3c | 6,168$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…a166backed No | 0c | 6,003$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…12b2backed No | 2c | 5,766$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…9feebacked No | 0c | 4,803$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…b8b5backed No | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x043e…a1fdbacked No | 3c | 3,757$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 1c | 3,648$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b31…81e1backed No | 3c | 3,438$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…ef5fbacked No | 4c | 2,936$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 2,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 2c | 2,387$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…b475backed No | 1c | 2,201$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 2,130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 0c | 2,110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…24cfbacked No | 1c | 2,107$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…a0fcbacked No | 3c | 1,875$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…8001backed No | 1c | 1,704$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…e7d1backed No | 2c | 1,667$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…ab2bbacked No | 4c | 1,280$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 1,104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 4c | 1,015$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…dbf7backed No | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 5c | 951.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 4c | 948.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…56fbbacked No | 10c | 835.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 5c | 829.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…8dcabacked No | 2c | 796.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…bd8ebacked No | 3c | 772.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 6c | 703.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 6c | 703.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 2c | 676.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 7c | 605.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa361…1bdebacked No | 3c | 577.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked No | 3c | 564.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 3c | 520.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ce…f70cbacked No | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 4c | 499.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e3…5c79backed No | 9c | 432.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4c…60a7backed No | 3c | 355.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 5c | 352.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…07a7backed No | 3c | 344.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 11c | 334$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…d367backed No | 5c | 330.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 11c | 305.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…a3c9backed No | 8c | 199.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 144.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…ab3bbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…65d5backed No | 12c | 91.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?this page
- Will Danish People’s Party win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Liberal Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Moderates win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Venstre win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.