NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb672a75ef24f52dcaeb110f9ff1a96496288cbe0391365ece9b5f0f398e858a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 55c | 50,847$28,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,061.7 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 45c | 40,000$17,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,050 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 6,974$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 6,060$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.41 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 5,144$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 49c | 5,061$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.22 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 3,316$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 3,210$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.1 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 50c | 1,954$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.1 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,834$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.82 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 54c | 1,508$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.79 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,485$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Under | 51c | 1,227$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.11 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 1,100$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 51c | 990$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 50c | 878$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 867.46$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Over | 51c | 778.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 775$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 389.91$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 354.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 45c | 231.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 50%124 W · 124 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Over | 53c | 163.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 56c | 157.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 133.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…8158backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 45c | 85.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 82.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 54c | 59.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…5ab7backed Over | 53c | 56.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 50c | 48.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 71c | 46.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7b51backed Over | 54c | 41.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 37.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a7…9638backed Over | 53c | 28.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…d83abacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…ad61backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…400fbacked Under | 48c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Under | 50c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…31d3backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3ff9backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…cf66backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7b…68c8backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2783…062dbacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. SunsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.