NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dcc7b54c8fe24234f08d4b73312d7e3afb878574640aa1f20ab10cc81839c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 62,863$33,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,404.08 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Over | 53c | 31,583$16,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,706 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 47c | 17,656$8,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,357.89 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 16,135$7,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,598.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 48c | 14,230$6,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.4 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 12,546$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,729.43 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 10,586$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 6,443$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.66 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 52c | 4,305$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.59 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 2,200$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.22 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,601$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 46c | 1,309$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.97 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,293$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 1,229$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.91 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 49c | 1,117$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.54 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 782.53$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 514.67$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 362.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.49 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 343.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 52c | 333.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 202.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 49c | 178.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 49c | 142.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 79.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 28c | 59.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 59.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 58.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…4d19backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 51c | 28.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 26.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 47c | 23.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 49c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. SunsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.