NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ea061068d1d61d027cbdc868717434e0e64c871753df8225c9d88c7012a6aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 49c | 68,492$33,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,523 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 22,878$11,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,098.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 20,212$10,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,840.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 6,139$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.66 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 2,367$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 1,801$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 1,746$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.62 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked Under | 52c | 1,651$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 1,463$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,376$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 55c | 1,335$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.55 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 628.25$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.29 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 495.22$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…5a75backed Over | 44c | 319.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 54c | 249.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 50c | 155.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 44c | 127$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Under | 56c | 113.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 49c | 108.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Under | 56c | 103.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Under | 56c | 103.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 79c | 94.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…dd82backed Over | 46c | 93.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 52c | 71.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Under | 55c | 68.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 46c | 65.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 52c | 57.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 55.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…a0aabacked Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 53c | 31.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 53c | 25.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…d97dbacked Over | 47c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 61c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c4dabacked Under | 57c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10d…3590backed Under | 57c | 17.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 57c | 17.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. SunsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.