South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586443693b9956d6c5f6cd20ade7ab5cc4b2eb78f948af41d57fb3ea8cc01f8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,507 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,768$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.46 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,635$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 38c | 983.92$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.89 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 650$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 24c | 622.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 37c | 455.21$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 63c | 318.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 64c | 278.09$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 241.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 221.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 201.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 35c | 127.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 90.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 79.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 78.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 67.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 62c | 65.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 36c | 62.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 64c | 59.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 54.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 38c | 48.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 36c | 35.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 63c | 30.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked No | 72c | 23.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 78c | 13.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.