South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55e2124ca38f0a558a76abc54c4cfdf16122c38c74956cee4190f90ea2828c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,674 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 6c | 4,413$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 69c | 4,185$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.55 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 3,716$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.58 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 3,669$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,608$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.33 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 1,762$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 1c | 1,029$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 881.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 5c | 492.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 31c | 343.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 30c | 329.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 31c | 294.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 241.77$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 239.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 211.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 8c | 173.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 112.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 33c | 105.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…1546backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 80.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 70.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 33c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 41.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 34c | 31.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 68c | 28.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 69c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked No | 78c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-17?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.