South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c18126b0e850c0687af149418d2ed9a92c97689bbe366cc8df80554e50ede35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 2c | 20,005$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 4,973$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.11 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 57c | 2,868$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.92 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 2,032$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 63c | 733.78$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 29c | 698.77$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.74 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 225$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 209.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 35c | 204.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 199.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 180.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 147.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 68c | 137.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 10c | 137.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 33c | 101.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 31c | 93.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Yes | 73c | 91.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 62c | 83.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 79.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 60c | 77.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…78d3backed Yes | 64c | 75.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 80c | 72.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 77c | 58.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 29c | 56.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc068…113dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 64c | 49.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 48.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…1ecabacked Yes | 67c | 48.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 42.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 36c | 42.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 31c | 41.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 30c | 40.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 31c | 34.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 70c | 31.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 75c | 27.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-17?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.