South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93ad1e23c6471c0e4117cfef4288b0c4d735a24703e37a133e07931a726f1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,884 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 4,500$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.11 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 2,896$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.36 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 66c | 2,381$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 2,153$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.9 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 1,741$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 6c | 1,485$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 26c | 949.81$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.88 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 66c | 704$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.36 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 593.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 70c | 508.57$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 50c | 270$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 68c | 258.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 172$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 55c | 141.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 66c | 141.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 134.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 105.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 61c | 96.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 52c | 90.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 33c | 90.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 87.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 48c | 81.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 79.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 35c | 74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 37c | 71.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 55.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 51.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 43c | 50.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 78c | 49.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 41c | 48.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked No | 57c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 45c | 35.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 32.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 59c | 20.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e89fbacked Yes | 57c | 18.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.