South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1488adcd294ca3ace387f4a70fba1cdf9a6173cbee50567b478bbc5d0808948c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,637 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 1,578$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 1,392$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.44 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 1,082$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.76 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 914.56$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 635.71$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.43 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 468.38$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 4c | 455.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 30c | 350.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 335.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 36c | 309.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 290.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 6c | 242$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 7c | 210$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 27c | 167.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 19c | 135.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 11c | 134.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 121.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 24c | 93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 36c | 88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 75c | 84.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 78.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 78.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 72c | 69.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 30c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 53c | 68.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 41.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 76c | 22.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e89fbacked No | 76c | 14.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.