South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd60f76112475f3f33bb0a8cca7050090bd896a3d46430aa0754782ed9b8d086b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,871$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.59 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 54c | 1,107$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 46c | 1,077$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.55 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 856.12$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 29c | 839$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.31 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 754.95$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 628.59$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 462.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 20c | 300.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 18c | 290.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 275.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 44c | 259.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 67c | 149.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 131.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 97.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 32c | 94.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 34c | 85.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 27c | 77.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 69.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 56.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 55c | 54.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 64c | 51.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 40.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 37.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…4e2ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 73c | 20.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.