South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f0da92a3750d23a73d04c8cb23e07182fe4cf12d96976c2e5a953c1da4ef4fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,711$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 1,875$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.97 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 61c | 1,128$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.91 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 757.97$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 34c | 681.87$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.67 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 62c | 666.4$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.24 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 495.78$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 360.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 292.13$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 22c | 282$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 35c | 257.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 7c | 226$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 39c | 197.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 168.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 39c | 162$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 141$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…4f83backed Yes | 19c | 77.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 18c | 76.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 28c | 74.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 59.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 42.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…7a24backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 65c | 38.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 30.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 75c | 25.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 22.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 80c | 17.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.