South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e400512604d85ecd4a202a414bcf768b5d6f84159b2daaf07f52c3c65d9d1ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,291 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 4,030$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.13 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 67c | 3,500$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.99 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 2,278$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,509$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.08 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.89 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 24c | 872$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 791.09$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 539.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 518.91$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 453.06$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 310$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Yes | 11c | 112.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 38c | 111.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 108.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 67c | 88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 71.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…567bbacked Yes | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 62.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 59.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 67c | 54.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Yes | 32c | 49.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed No | 72c | 44.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 42.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 40.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 39.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed No | 69c | 28.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 75c | 24.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 24.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 68c | 22.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked No | 76c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…e3c0backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.