South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8aae8303ba471fa1d761ef80bfa0534a809922a4b7c8d8e2fe1d628d5b1b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,895 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 69c | 4,737$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.84 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 26c | 1,230$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.97 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 1,166$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 57c | 1,117$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.78 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 923.26$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 875.65$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.4 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 34c | 775.11$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.29 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 637.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.15 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 59c | 511.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 48c | 488.67$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 5c | 467.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 397.37$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 375.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 59c | 299.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 42c | 242.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…66a2backed Yes | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 58c | 171$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 60c | 163.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 159.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…29b6backed No | 14c | 136.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 132.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 66c | 122.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 110.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed No | 40c | 102.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 33c | 92.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 90.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 86.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 74.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 35c | 72.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 61c | 71.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed No | 49c | 51.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 43c | 35.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 58c | 32.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 57c | 32.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 30.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 42c | 29.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 58c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…e451backed Yes | 54c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 58c | 19.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Yes | 69c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will CA Talleres vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.