South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42c9f2ed345e96eafcb9e0c2b972bd8be633a599a03060fc6e4238fc63251b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Clubof Racing Club, Club Independiente Petrolero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Racing Club | 34c | 2,805$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.04 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 695.41$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.81 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 68c | 327.47$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 242.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 137.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Racing Club | 29c | 128.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Racing Club | 35c | 86.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Racing Club | 37c | 77.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 74.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 65c | 65.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 60.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 64c | 57.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 68c | 50.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 48.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 42.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 67c | 36.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…abf8backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 34.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 32.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 31.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 31.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…714cbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 30.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 22.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 21.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…01c3backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 17.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 17.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 17.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 17.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 74c | 15.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 66c | 15.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)this page
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.