Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8daa44be544a24687e9a0ed1029aad90ae269ad7bb7b013ddd44548d64700d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2a0…eecbbacked No | 36c | 7,712$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 1,286$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.6 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 61c | 1,119$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.04 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ea1backed Yes | 60c | 810.83$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 706$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 60c | 665.31$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.12 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 62c | 657.77$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 16c | 564.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 10c | 395.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 329.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 62c | 314.43$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 304.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 40c | 253.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 62c | 236$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 63c | 217.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 13c | 175.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 12c | 159.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 61c | 123.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Yes | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 62c | 118.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 40c | 106.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 105.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 61c | 81.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 79.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 42c | 74.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…2ff6backed Yes | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 60c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 58c | 58.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 60c | 54.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes | 62c | 51.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…1607backed Yes | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…e299backed Yes | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 39c | 38.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 34.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 78c | 31.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 60c | 31.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…dc7cbacked Yes | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 61c | 30.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…ce84backed Yes | 61c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 62c | 24.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Yes | 63c | 18.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Yes | 63c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.