Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefeae5609e003f1a830a57c2b22c9d046f2b459bf6c0250454c58cccf2d40deb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 21c | 796.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 17c | 791.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 609.06$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 386.98$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 6c | 325.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 25c | 309.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 280.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 258.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 76c | 194.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 26c | 192.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 167.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 13c | 149.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 14c | 146.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 74c | 124.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 107.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 89.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 75c | 72.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 60.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 75c | 18.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 76c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.