Asian League · resolved market
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7775bc01314cb9d5a485c844c8d6627dd844dc1b8621f86055137b0dd55904a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 43c | 18,423$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 7,954$5,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.81 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,822$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 3,057$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.9 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 59c | 2,712$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.86 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 4c | 2,618$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 2,442$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.63 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 1,564$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.87 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 43c | 696$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 570.87$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.52 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 11c | 549.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 56c | 466.67$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 60c | 444$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 324$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 45c | 273.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 43c | 265.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 69c | 259.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 10c | 245.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 215$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 205.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 58c | 172.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 57c | 158.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 157$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 151.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5d…67b4backed Yes | 42c | 117.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 56c | 116$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 43c | 98.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 40c | 95.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 61c | 68.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 58c | 66.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 58c | 55.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 43c | 54.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 40c | 48.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 40c | 47.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 58c | 43.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 42.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 34.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 58c | 33.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 43c | 32.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 42c | 29.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…d3bbbacked No | 78c | 23.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed No | 58c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 58c | 22.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked No | 79c | 21.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 58c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 58c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 61c | 19.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 18.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?No won
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.